Peer-To-Peer Lending: The Free Market In Action

The internet is a beautiful thing, it creates opportunities to streamline so many things in our lives. It creates a marketplace where people can reach each other so easily. It has the power to decentralize authority and break down barriers. We have information sharing at an insane rate that people just 20 years ago couldn’t imagine, but I think we have yet to see the real power of the internet.

As the financial crisis rages on, a fairly new form of decentralized lending and borrowing is emerging through online sharing of money. According to a study by Grail Research, person-to-person lending (P2P) is a fast emerging trend that could seriously reduce dependence on banks. P2P lending is a form of micro-lending where an individual or a group lends money to a person in need without any intermediary or central authority like a bank.

Many people in third world counties could have their lives changed with less than $100 dollars. They can use that money to buy goods that could allow them to build a business and make more money. For example, someone in Africa could buy a small generator and use it to power a small refrigerator and sell cold drinks. A man in India could buy new carpentry tools to build houses. And those small loans make those things possible.

Borrowers put up a profile online, usually on the site that facilitates this whole process, sites like Kiva.org, dhanaX, or Lending Club, and lenders can browse through the site looking for someone they think is worthy of their loan. The market for these loans is huge. In India, for instance, the size of informal lending market is estimated to be $90-100 billion, with rural areas accounting for bulk of the market. Of this, just 30-35 percent is supposed to be managed through friends and family networks including the emerging new platform of person-to-person lending.

“P2P lending is one of Web 2.0′s less-appreciated applications. By eliminating intermediaries such as banks, it creates better outcomes for both borrowers and lenders. We expect it to be a key threat for traditional lenders such as banks in the long term,” Grail Research Country Head Amit Kumar said.

Groups of the poorest in any given society are the ones that traditional banks won’t help, which is why P2P works so well, it has access to the long tail

Call me an econ-geek, but I’m incredibly excited about the concept of P2P lending. Decentralized solutions to social problems are generally much more elegant and workable. With P2P lending, for example, each individual lender negotiates the interest rate with the borrower, this creates a system where competition increases greatly. Instead of a few banks capable of lending money, the number of lenders is only limited with the number of individuals willing to lend. More competition, of course, means lowered costs and raised quality of the service. It’s a perfect example of how the free market solutions are superior to centrally planned solutions.

Imagine if a government or some other central authority were to take over Kiva.org, or get involved in the micro-lending business. If government were the central authority controlling the microloans, the money would first come from taxes levied on the citizens, whether they want to participate in the program or not. Then, since some members of society may not agree with where the money is going, politicians would propose new legislation requiring borrowers to meet certain qualifications, and setting limits on the amount of money able to be borrowed. Each loan would be controlled by a government employee instead of by the prospective lender, and those government employees need to be paid out of the pool of tax money, lessening the amount that can go to borrowers.

Since everyone is paying, everyone wants a say in how the money is spent. Government officials and special interests, who have more power than individuals, start diverting this pool of money to their own ends. Large corporations start building projects in third world countries under the guise of helping needy so that they can gain access to the pool of micro-loan money, and politicians push that legislation through because they’re getting endorsements and donations from those corporations. All this happens when you move from a decentralized system to a centralized one.

In the decentralized system, since the loans are spread out among thousands of lenders making decisions about their own individual loans, the system is insulated from corruption. There is no need to pay loan counselors or financial consultants because each lender negotiates the rate of interest with the borrower, so less money is used overall and everything is more efficient.

Taking all these things into account, P2P lending is one of the most powerful real world examples of how the free market works better than a regulated system with a central authority. It’s just Common Sense.

9 Comments

RyanNovember 8th, 2008 at 2:22 pm

I’d be interested to hear a bit about how risk is managed in P2P lending. That’s my biggest concern. As you note, big banks and governments handle risk by simply not lending to the poorest of the poor.

Presumably, part of the risk management is handled by size of the loans and the decentralization of the risk. But for a system like this to work, there has to be economic incentive for the lender to feel confident he or she will make some money.

JaredNovember 8th, 2008 at 6:03 pm

The only difference I see between micro-lending and payday lending is the interest rates charged. There is a new peer-to-peer platform that will be launching soon at http://www.yadyap.com. This p2p site is designed specifically for p2p payday loans. The objective is to deliver dramatically lower payday loan rates to borrowers, while allowing everyone to participate in payday lending. There will be a good financial return as well as a great social return.

LaurenNovember 8th, 2008 at 8:19 pm

Great article

I just heard of P2P lending on NPR last week and must admit I fell in love with the idea. I immediately did some research ans decided to join Lending Club (better quality loans, for profit portfolio) and Kiva (to help 3rd world country folks, more of a good karma site).

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=96547454

So far I’m impressed with these 2 sites, how come I did not know about this? Depending how this goes I will invest more, but I must say I’m a little worried after reading some horror stories from lenders at Prosper.

have you used these sites? what is your experience?

stock message boardsNovember 9th, 2008 at 6:32 am

Your correct ryan, I would as well and I feel exaclty the same. There has to be economic incentive for the lender to feel confident.

Caleb NelsonNovember 10th, 2008 at 8:04 pm

I agree with Ryan. I wonder how the risks are managed. Would someone have to run credit reports, and if something were to go wrong how are they insured. How are rates negotiated or payment plans secured.? There’s a lot to wonder about. I wonder if you could do the same thing a little beyond the individual to small businesses.

Caleb
http://www.mefinanciallyfree.blogspot.com

VenkatNovember 11th, 2008 at 1:46 pm

Economic incentive of keynes would not suffice.Personal contact is necessary.Such portals are not successful although they claim to be so.If the portal exists as an adjunct to a bank that may suceed.Otherwise risk is very high wiothout any gurantee or insurance hedge.

Paul NNovember 11th, 2008 at 5:43 pm

You do not provide any evidence that this so-called “free market” is actually working. Instead, you only provide the total amount being lent. What is the default rate on these loans? What is the average profit?

Perhaps the reason it works is because many of the lenders are not expecting to make a profit. Instead, they are treating it like a donation, which they may happen to actually get back. That to me is not a free market but a philanthropy.

MikeNovember 11th, 2008 at 8:41 pm

@Ryan,
Risk is mitigated in a number of ways. Looking at Lending Club, for example, only borrowers with high FICO credit scores (640+) and low debt-to-income ratio (below 25%, excluding mortgage) are accepted. Lenders also tend to spread their investment over many loans, i.e. $1000 invested in one loan is much riskier than investing $25 (the minimum amount at Lending Club) across 40 loans. The other economic incentive for taking on the presumed higher risk is that rates are more attractive than many alternative investments. Higher risk, higher potential rewards.

I haven’t heard of dhanaX, but I know that investors at the other site mentioned, kiva.org, will not make money. There, the loans are repaid without interest. Lenders make loans on kiva not for the money they will make, but rather for the social rewards their loans may help to generate.

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